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Clear Thinking
Structured Analytic Techniques and Strategic Foresight Analysis for Decisionmakers
Buch von Randolph H. Pherson (u. a.)
Sprache: Englisch

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Beschreibung
This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.
This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.
Über den Autor

Randolph H. Pherson was Co-Founder and Managing Director of Pherson Associates, LLC and CEO of Globalytica, LLC. He had taught advanced analytic techniques and critical thinking skills to analysts in most US Intelligence Community agencies, in ten of the Fortune 100 companies, and in many countries around the world including the UK, Italy, Norway, Denmark, Spain, Romania, Australia, Saudi Arabia, and Hong Kong.

Ole Donner is the founder of "Strukturierte Analyse Deutschland" (Structured Analysis Germany) and in this position acts as a trainer and consultant for governmental institutions such as the Criminal Police, intergovernmental organizations such as NATO as well as national and international companies with the aim of enhancing their intelligence and analysis capabilities. Mr. Donner is also a Research Fellow at the Institute for Intelligence and Security Management (I2SM) at the NBS Northern Business School.

Oliver Gnad is the founder and managing director of the "Bureau fuer Zeitgeschehen" (Bureau of Current Affairs), a Frankfurt-based think-and-do-tank specialised in strategic foresight and scenario planning. He is a Senior Non-Resident Fellow of the German Marshall Fund of the United States, lecturer at the Berlin-based Hertie School and certified by Pherson Associates, LLC as a Senior Instructor of Structured Analytic Techniques.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Chapter 1. Setting the Stage.- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2.- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic.- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin!.- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm.- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic?.- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product.- Chapter 8. Outlook.

Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2024
Genre: Politikwissenschaften
Rubrik: Wissenschaften
Medium: Buch
Reihe: Professional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations
Inhalt: xix
243 S.
96 s/w Illustr.
36 farbige Illustr.
243 p. 132 illus.
36 illus. in color.
ISBN-13: 9783031487651
ISBN-10: 3031487656
Sprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: HC runder Rücken kaschiert
Einband: Gebunden
Autor: Pherson, Randolph H.
Gnad, Oliver
Donner, Ole
Hersteller: Springer Nature Switzerland
Springer International Publishing
Springer International Publishing AG
Professional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations
Maße: 241 x 160 x 20 mm
Von/Mit: Randolph H. Pherson (u. a.)
Erscheinungsdatum: 29.02.2024
Gewicht: 0,565 kg
Artikel-ID: 127838033
Über den Autor

Randolph H. Pherson was Co-Founder and Managing Director of Pherson Associates, LLC and CEO of Globalytica, LLC. He had taught advanced analytic techniques and critical thinking skills to analysts in most US Intelligence Community agencies, in ten of the Fortune 100 companies, and in many countries around the world including the UK, Italy, Norway, Denmark, Spain, Romania, Australia, Saudi Arabia, and Hong Kong.

Ole Donner is the founder of "Strukturierte Analyse Deutschland" (Structured Analysis Germany) and in this position acts as a trainer and consultant for governmental institutions such as the Criminal Police, intergovernmental organizations such as NATO as well as national and international companies with the aim of enhancing their intelligence and analysis capabilities. Mr. Donner is also a Research Fellow at the Institute for Intelligence and Security Management (I2SM) at the NBS Northern Business School.

Oliver Gnad is the founder and managing director of the "Bureau fuer Zeitgeschehen" (Bureau of Current Affairs), a Frankfurt-based think-and-do-tank specialised in strategic foresight and scenario planning. He is a Senior Non-Resident Fellow of the German Marshall Fund of the United States, lecturer at the Berlin-based Hertie School and certified by Pherson Associates, LLC as a Senior Instructor of Structured Analytic Techniques.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Chapter 1. Setting the Stage.- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2.- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic.- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin!.- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm.- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic?.- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product.- Chapter 8. Outlook.

Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2024
Genre: Politikwissenschaften
Rubrik: Wissenschaften
Medium: Buch
Reihe: Professional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations
Inhalt: xix
243 S.
96 s/w Illustr.
36 farbige Illustr.
243 p. 132 illus.
36 illus. in color.
ISBN-13: 9783031487651
ISBN-10: 3031487656
Sprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: HC runder Rücken kaschiert
Einband: Gebunden
Autor: Pherson, Randolph H.
Gnad, Oliver
Donner, Ole
Hersteller: Springer Nature Switzerland
Springer International Publishing
Springer International Publishing AG
Professional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations
Maße: 241 x 160 x 20 mm
Von/Mit: Randolph H. Pherson (u. a.)
Erscheinungsdatum: 29.02.2024
Gewicht: 0,565 kg
Artikel-ID: 127838033
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