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Prediction, Learning, and Games
Buch von Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi
Sprache: Englisch

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Beschreibung
This important new text and reference for researchers and students in machine learning, game theory, statistics and information theory offers the first comprehensive treatment of the problem of predicting individual sequences. Unlike standard statistical approaches to forecasting, prediction of individual sequences does not impose any probabilistic assumption on the data-generating mechanism. Yet, prediction algorithms can be constructed that work well for all possible sequences, in the sense that their performance is always nearly as good as the best forecasting strategy in a given reference class. The central theme is the model of prediction using expert advice, a general framework within which many related problems can be cast and discussed. Repeated game playing, adaptive data compression, sequential investment in the stock market, sequential pattern analysis, and several other problems are viewed as instances of the experts' framework and analyzed from a common nonstochastic standpoint that often reveals new and intriguing connections. Old and new forecasting methods are described in a mathematically precise way in order to characterize their theoretical limitations and possibilities.
This important new text and reference for researchers and students in machine learning, game theory, statistics and information theory offers the first comprehensive treatment of the problem of predicting individual sequences. Unlike standard statistical approaches to forecasting, prediction of individual sequences does not impose any probabilistic assumption on the data-generating mechanism. Yet, prediction algorithms can be constructed that work well for all possible sequences, in the sense that their performance is always nearly as good as the best forecasting strategy in a given reference class. The central theme is the model of prediction using expert advice, a general framework within which many related problems can be cast and discussed. Repeated game playing, adaptive data compression, sequential investment in the stock market, sequential pattern analysis, and several other problems are viewed as instances of the experts' framework and analyzed from a common nonstochastic standpoint that often reveals new and intriguing connections. Old and new forecasting methods are described in a mathematically precise way in order to characterize their theoretical limitations and possibilities.
Über den Autor
Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi is Professor of Computer Science at the University of Milan, Italy. His research interests include learning theory, pattern analysis, and worst-case analysis of algorithms. He is the acting editor of The Machine Learning Journal.
Inhaltsverzeichnis
1. Introduction; 2. Prediction with expert advice; 3. Tight bounds for specific losses; 4. Randomized prediction; 5. Efficient forecasters for large classes of experts; 6. Prediction with limited feedback; 7. Prediction and playing games; 8. Absolute loss; 9. Logarithmic loss; 10. Sequential investment; 11. Linear pattern recognition; 12. Linear classification; 13. Appendix.
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2010
Fachbereich: Allgemeines
Genre: Mathematik
Rubrik: Naturwissenschaften & Technik
Medium: Buch
Seiten: 408
Inhalt: Gebunden
ISBN-13: 9780521841085
ISBN-10: 0521841089
Sprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: HC gerader Rücken kaschiert
Einband: Gebunden
Autor: Cesa-Bianchi, Nicolò
Hersteller: Cambridge University Press
Maße: 260 x 183 x 26 mm
Von/Mit: Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi
Erscheinungsdatum: 29.11.2010
Gewicht: 0,961 kg
preigu-id: 102216832
Über den Autor
Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi is Professor of Computer Science at the University of Milan, Italy. His research interests include learning theory, pattern analysis, and worst-case analysis of algorithms. He is the acting editor of The Machine Learning Journal.
Inhaltsverzeichnis
1. Introduction; 2. Prediction with expert advice; 3. Tight bounds for specific losses; 4. Randomized prediction; 5. Efficient forecasters for large classes of experts; 6. Prediction with limited feedback; 7. Prediction and playing games; 8. Absolute loss; 9. Logarithmic loss; 10. Sequential investment; 11. Linear pattern recognition; 12. Linear classification; 13. Appendix.
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2010
Fachbereich: Allgemeines
Genre: Mathematik
Rubrik: Naturwissenschaften & Technik
Medium: Buch
Seiten: 408
Inhalt: Gebunden
ISBN-13: 9780521841085
ISBN-10: 0521841089
Sprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: HC gerader Rücken kaschiert
Einband: Gebunden
Autor: Cesa-Bianchi, Nicolò
Hersteller: Cambridge University Press
Maße: 260 x 183 x 26 mm
Von/Mit: Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi
Erscheinungsdatum: 29.11.2010
Gewicht: 0,961 kg
preigu-id: 102216832
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