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AMERICA AS NO.3
GET REAL ABOUT CHINA, INDIA AND THE REST
Taschenbuch von Hugh Peyman
Sprache: Englisch

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Beschreibung
A Clash of Civilisations is not inevitable, yet danger mounts the longer the West ignores its top forecaster. In 2023, the OECD sees China's economy as 27% bigger than the US: by mid-century 70%. India too will be larger, leaving America as No.3. Time to Get Real: listen to economists, especially development economists, and those in business who know China.

Three giant shocks lurk right ahead for the West: economic, demographic and competence. 90% of the world's population will soon be non-Western: no more accepting exclusion from global decision making. After COVID, Afghanistan and domestic turmoil, many question Western competence to get things right, let alone avoid nuclear destruction.

Economic size, not military might, is what counts among Great Powers. As leading military historian Paul Kennedy wrote, military strength is, "inextricably intertwined with economic power and technological progress". This need not threaten the West if understood and managed properly. Indeed, it would mitigate the real existential threats, from the environment to war. Otherwise nuclear conflict, Kissinger's "Armageddon-like clash", is ever more likely.

A New New World with growing muscle and some different ideas is emerging. How can the West best respond? The book proposes a Biden-Xi Grand Bargain, as Nixon struck with Mao. Grasp what Yin and Yang offer, as opposites can support each other for lasting mutual benefit.
A Clash of Civilisations is not inevitable, yet danger mounts the longer the West ignores its top forecaster. In 2023, the OECD sees China's economy as 27% bigger than the US: by mid-century 70%. India too will be larger, leaving America as No.3. Time to Get Real: listen to economists, especially development economists, and those in business who know China.

Three giant shocks lurk right ahead for the West: economic, demographic and competence. 90% of the world's population will soon be non-Western: no more accepting exclusion from global decision making. After COVID, Afghanistan and domestic turmoil, many question Western competence to get things right, let alone avoid nuclear destruction.

Economic size, not military might, is what counts among Great Powers. As leading military historian Paul Kennedy wrote, military strength is, "inextricably intertwined with economic power and technological progress". This need not threaten the West if understood and managed properly. Indeed, it would mitigate the real existential threats, from the environment to war. Otherwise nuclear conflict, Kissinger's "Armageddon-like clash", is ever more likely.

A New New World with growing muscle and some different ideas is emerging. How can the West best respond? The book proposes a Biden-Xi Grand Bargain, as Nixon struck with Mao. Grasp what Yin and Yang offer, as opposites can support each other for lasting mutual benefit.
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2023
Genre: Politikwissenschaften
Rubrik: Wissenschaften
Medium: Taschenbuch
ISBN-13: 9789811283512
ISBN-10: 9811283516
Sprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: Paperback
Einband: Kartoniert / Broschiert
Autor: Hugh Peyman
Hersteller: World Scientific
Maße: 229 x 152 x 21 mm
Von/Mit: Hugh Peyman
Erscheinungsdatum: 24.07.2023
Gewicht: 0,538 kg
Artikel-ID: 127322010
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2023
Genre: Politikwissenschaften
Rubrik: Wissenschaften
Medium: Taschenbuch
ISBN-13: 9789811283512
ISBN-10: 9811283516
Sprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: Paperback
Einband: Kartoniert / Broschiert
Autor: Hugh Peyman
Hersteller: World Scientific
Maße: 229 x 152 x 21 mm
Von/Mit: Hugh Peyman
Erscheinungsdatum: 24.07.2023
Gewicht: 0,538 kg
Artikel-ID: 127322010
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