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The Black Swan
The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Taschenbuch von Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Sprache: Englisch
Originalsprache: Englisch

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Beschreibung
THE BLACK SWAN is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. Why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.
THE BLACK SWAN is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. Why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.
Über den Autor

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent twenty-one years as a risk taker before becoming a researcher in philosophical, mathematical, and (mostly) practical problems with probability. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafes across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Tandon School of Engineering but self-funds his own research.

His books, Antifragile, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes and Fooled by Randomness (part of a multi-volume collection called Incerto, Latin for uncertainty), have been translated into thirty-seven languages. Taleb has authored more than fifty scholarly papers as backup to Incerto, ranging from international affairs and risk management to statistical physics. He refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.

Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2008
Genre: Politikwissenschaft & Soziologie
Rubrik: Wissenschaften
Medium: Taschenbuch
Seiten: 444
Inhalt: 366 S.
ISBN-13: 9780141034591
ISBN-10: 0141034599
Sprache: Englisch
Originalsprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: B-format paperback
Einband: Kartoniert / Broschiert
Autor: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
Auflage: Trade Paperback
Hersteller: Penguin Books Ltd (UK)
Penguin
Penguin Classics
Maße: 127 x 194 x 33 mm
Von/Mit: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Erscheinungsdatum: 28.02.2008
Gewicht: 0,358 kg
preigu-id: 101943061
Über den Autor

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent twenty-one years as a risk taker before becoming a researcher in philosophical, mathematical, and (mostly) practical problems with probability. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafes across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Tandon School of Engineering but self-funds his own research.

His books, Antifragile, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes and Fooled by Randomness (part of a multi-volume collection called Incerto, Latin for uncertainty), have been translated into thirty-seven languages. Taleb has authored more than fifty scholarly papers as backup to Incerto, ranging from international affairs and risk management to statistical physics. He refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.

Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2008
Genre: Politikwissenschaft & Soziologie
Rubrik: Wissenschaften
Medium: Taschenbuch
Seiten: 444
Inhalt: 366 S.
ISBN-13: 9780141034591
ISBN-10: 0141034599
Sprache: Englisch
Originalsprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: B-format paperback
Einband: Kartoniert / Broschiert
Autor: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
Auflage: Trade Paperback
Hersteller: Penguin Books Ltd (UK)
Penguin
Penguin Classics
Maße: 127 x 194 x 33 mm
Von/Mit: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Erscheinungsdatum: 28.02.2008
Gewicht: 0,358 kg
preigu-id: 101943061
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