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Modelling our Changing World
Buch von David F. Hendry (u. a.)
Sprache: Englisch

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Beschreibung
This open access book focuses on the concepts, tools and techniques needed to successfully model ever-changing time-series data. It emphasizes the need for general models to account for the complexities of the modern world and how these can be applied to a range of issues facing Earth, from modelling volcanic eruptions, carbon dioxide emissions and global temperatures, to modelling unemployment rates, wage inflation and population growth.

Except where otherwise noted, this book is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit [...]
This open access book focuses on the concepts, tools and techniques needed to successfully model ever-changing time-series data. It emphasizes the need for general models to account for the complexities of the modern world and how these can be applied to a range of issues facing Earth, from modelling volcanic eruptions, carbon dioxide emissions and global temperatures, to modelling unemployment rates, wage inflation and population growth.

Except where otherwise noted, this book is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit [...]
Über den Autor

Jennifer L. Castle isTutorial Fellow in Economics at Magdalen College, Oxford University, UK and Research Fellow at the Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, UK. She has published extensively on general-to-specific econometric methods in modelling linear and non-linear economic time series.

David F. Hendry is Director of the Program in Economic Modelling at the Institute for New Economic Thinking and Co-director of Climate Econometrics, both at the Oxford Martin School, UK and Fellow of Nuffield College, Oxford University, UK. He was knighted in 2009, and received a Lifetime Achievement Award from the Economic and Social Research Council in 2014. He is an Honorary Vice-President and a past President of the Royal Economic Society, a Fellow of the British Academy, the Royal Society of Edinburgh, the Econometric Society, the Academy of Social Sciences, and the Journal of Econometrics, and an Honorary Fellow of the International Institute of Forecasters. He has been awarded eight Honorary Doctorates, is listed by the ISI as one of the world's 200 most cited economists, is a Thomson Reuters Citation Laureate, and has received the Guy Medal in Bronze from the Royal Statistical Society.

Zusammenfassung

Published Open Access

Presents key concepts of time series: non-stationarity, structural breaks and model selection

Reviews the history of time-series modelling

Demonstrates how various forms of break can be detected

Combines theory and data

Inhaltsverzeichnis
Chapter 1: Introduction.- Chapter 2: Key Concepts: A Series of Primers.- Chapter 3: Why is the World Always Changing?.- Chapter 4: Making Trends and Breaks Work for us.- Chapter 5: Indicator Saturation Methods.- Chapter 6: Combining Theory and Data.- Chapter 7: Seeing into the Future.- Chapter 8: Conclusions.
Details
Fachbereich: Volkswirtschaft
Medium: Buch
Seiten: 148
Reihe: Palgrave Texts in Econometrics
Inhalt: xix
128 S.
42 farbige Illustr.
128 p. 42 illus. in color.
ISBN-13: 9783030214319
ISBN-10: 3030214311
Sprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: HC runder Rücken kaschiert
Einband: Gebunden
Autor: Hendry, David F.
Castle, Jennifer L.
Auflage: 1st ed. 2019
Hersteller: Springer International Publishing
Palgrave Texts in Econometrics
Maße: 216 x 153 x 13 mm
Von/Mit: David F. Hendry (u. a.)
Erscheinungsdatum: 13.09.2019
Gewicht: 0,313 kg
preigu-id: 116514411
Über den Autor

Jennifer L. Castle isTutorial Fellow in Economics at Magdalen College, Oxford University, UK and Research Fellow at the Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, UK. She has published extensively on general-to-specific econometric methods in modelling linear and non-linear economic time series.

David F. Hendry is Director of the Program in Economic Modelling at the Institute for New Economic Thinking and Co-director of Climate Econometrics, both at the Oxford Martin School, UK and Fellow of Nuffield College, Oxford University, UK. He was knighted in 2009, and received a Lifetime Achievement Award from the Economic and Social Research Council in 2014. He is an Honorary Vice-President and a past President of the Royal Economic Society, a Fellow of the British Academy, the Royal Society of Edinburgh, the Econometric Society, the Academy of Social Sciences, and the Journal of Econometrics, and an Honorary Fellow of the International Institute of Forecasters. He has been awarded eight Honorary Doctorates, is listed by the ISI as one of the world's 200 most cited economists, is a Thomson Reuters Citation Laureate, and has received the Guy Medal in Bronze from the Royal Statistical Society.

Zusammenfassung

Published Open Access

Presents key concepts of time series: non-stationarity, structural breaks and model selection

Reviews the history of time-series modelling

Demonstrates how various forms of break can be detected

Combines theory and data

Inhaltsverzeichnis
Chapter 1: Introduction.- Chapter 2: Key Concepts: A Series of Primers.- Chapter 3: Why is the World Always Changing?.- Chapter 4: Making Trends and Breaks Work for us.- Chapter 5: Indicator Saturation Methods.- Chapter 6: Combining Theory and Data.- Chapter 7: Seeing into the Future.- Chapter 8: Conclusions.
Details
Fachbereich: Volkswirtschaft
Medium: Buch
Seiten: 148
Reihe: Palgrave Texts in Econometrics
Inhalt: xix
128 S.
42 farbige Illustr.
128 p. 42 illus. in color.
ISBN-13: 9783030214319
ISBN-10: 3030214311
Sprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: HC runder Rücken kaschiert
Einband: Gebunden
Autor: Hendry, David F.
Castle, Jennifer L.
Auflage: 1st ed. 2019
Hersteller: Springer International Publishing
Palgrave Texts in Econometrics
Maße: 216 x 153 x 13 mm
Von/Mit: David F. Hendry (u. a.)
Erscheinungsdatum: 13.09.2019
Gewicht: 0,313 kg
preigu-id: 116514411
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