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Interpreting Probability
Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century
Taschenbuch von David Howie (u. a.)
Sprache: Englisch

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Beschreibung
The term probability can be used in two main senses. In the frequency interpretation it is a limiting ratio in a sequence of repeatable events. In the Bayesian view, probability is a mental construct representing uncertainty. This book is about these two types of probability and investigates how, despite being adopted by scientists and statisticians in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, Bayesianism was discredited as a theory of scientific inference during the 1920s and 1930s. Through the examination of a dispute between two British scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations is not forced by pure logic or the mathematics of the situation, but depends on the experiences and aims of the individuals involved. The book should be of interest to students and scientists interested in statistics and probability theories and to general readers with an interest in the history, sociology and philosophy of science.
The term probability can be used in two main senses. In the frequency interpretation it is a limiting ratio in a sequence of repeatable events. In the Bayesian view, probability is a mental construct representing uncertainty. This book is about these two types of probability and investigates how, despite being adopted by scientists and statisticians in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, Bayesianism was discredited as a theory of scientific inference during the 1920s and 1930s. Through the examination of a dispute between two British scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations is not forced by pure logic or the mathematics of the situation, but depends on the experiences and aims of the individuals involved. The book should be of interest to students and scientists interested in statistics and probability theories and to general readers with an interest in the history, sociology and philosophy of science.
Zusammenfassung
Probability can be a numerical ratio; or, in the Bayesian sense, a degree of belief. This book is about these two types of probability and investigates how Bayesianism was discredited during the 1920s and 1930s. By examining a dispute between two British scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations depends on the experiences of the individuals involved. The book should be of interest to scholars interested in statistics and probability theories and to general readers with an interest in the history, sociology and philosophy of science.
Inhaltsverzeichnis
Acknowledgements; 1. Introduction; 2. Probability up to the twentieth century; 3. R. A. Fisher and statistical probability; 4. Harold Jeffreys and inverse probability; 5. The Fisher-Jeffreys exchange, 1932-4; 6. Probability during the 1930s; 7. Epilogue and conclusions; Appendices; Bibliography; Index.
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2007
Fachbereich: Allgemeines
Genre: Mathematik
Rubrik: Naturwissenschaften & Technik
Thema: Lexika
Medium: Taschenbuch
Seiten: 276
ISBN-13: 9780521037549
ISBN-10: 0521037549
Sprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: Paperback
Einband: Kartoniert / Broschiert
Autor: Howie, David
David, Howie
Hersteller: Cambridge University Press
Maße: 229 x 152 x 16 mm
Von/Mit: David Howie (u. a.)
Erscheinungsdatum: 23.04.2007
Gewicht: 0,452 kg
preigu-id: 102053679
Zusammenfassung
Probability can be a numerical ratio; or, in the Bayesian sense, a degree of belief. This book is about these two types of probability and investigates how Bayesianism was discredited during the 1920s and 1930s. By examining a dispute between two British scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations depends on the experiences of the individuals involved. The book should be of interest to scholars interested in statistics and probability theories and to general readers with an interest in the history, sociology and philosophy of science.
Inhaltsverzeichnis
Acknowledgements; 1. Introduction; 2. Probability up to the twentieth century; 3. R. A. Fisher and statistical probability; 4. Harold Jeffreys and inverse probability; 5. The Fisher-Jeffreys exchange, 1932-4; 6. Probability during the 1930s; 7. Epilogue and conclusions; Appendices; Bibliography; Index.
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2007
Fachbereich: Allgemeines
Genre: Mathematik
Rubrik: Naturwissenschaften & Technik
Thema: Lexika
Medium: Taschenbuch
Seiten: 276
ISBN-13: 9780521037549
ISBN-10: 0521037549
Sprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: Paperback
Einband: Kartoniert / Broschiert
Autor: Howie, David
David, Howie
Hersteller: Cambridge University Press
Maße: 229 x 152 x 16 mm
Von/Mit: David Howie (u. a.)
Erscheinungsdatum: 23.04.2007
Gewicht: 0,452 kg
preigu-id: 102053679
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