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We live on a planet careening toward environmental collapse that will be largely brought about by our own actions. And yet we struggle to grasp the scale of the crisis, barely able to imagine the effects of climate change just ten years from now, let alone the multi-millennial timescales of Earth's past and future life span. In this book, Vincent Ialenti offers a guide for envisioning the planet's far future—to become, as he terms it, more skilled deep time reckoners. The challenge, he says, is to learn to inhabit a longer now.
Ialenti takes on two overlapping crises: the Anthropocene, our current moment of human-caused environmental transformation; and the deflation of expertise—today's popular mockery and institutional erosion of expert authority. The second crisis, he argues, is worsening the effects of the first. Hearing out scientific experts who study a wider time span than a Facebook timeline is key to tackling our planet's emergency. Astrophysicists, geologists, historians, evolutionary biologists, climatologists, archaeologists, and others can teach us the art of long-termism.
For a case study in long-term thinking, Ialenti turns to Finland's nuclear waste repository "Safety Case” experts. These scientists forecast far future glaciations, climate changes, earthquakes, and more, over the coming tens of thousands—or even hundreds of thousands or millions—of years. They are not pop culture "futurists” but data-driven, disciplined technical experts, using the power of patterns to construct detailed scenarios and quantitative models of the far future. This is the kind of time literacy we need if we are to survive the Anthropocene.
We live on a planet careening toward environmental collapse that will be largely brought about by our own actions. And yet we struggle to grasp the scale of the crisis, barely able to imagine the effects of climate change just ten years from now, let alone the multi-millennial timescales of Earth's past and future life span. In this book, Vincent Ialenti offers a guide for envisioning the planet's far future—to become, as he terms it, more skilled deep time reckoners. The challenge, he says, is to learn to inhabit a longer now.
Ialenti takes on two overlapping crises: the Anthropocene, our current moment of human-caused environmental transformation; and the deflation of expertise—today's popular mockery and institutional erosion of expert authority. The second crisis, he argues, is worsening the effects of the first. Hearing out scientific experts who study a wider time span than a Facebook timeline is key to tackling our planet's emergency. Astrophysicists, geologists, historians, evolutionary biologists, climatologists, archaeologists, and others can teach us the art of long-termism.
For a case study in long-term thinking, Ialenti turns to Finland's nuclear waste repository "Safety Case” experts. These scientists forecast far future glaciations, climate changes, earthquakes, and more, over the coming tens of thousands—or even hundreds of thousands or millions—of years. They are not pop culture "futurists” but data-driven, disciplined technical experts, using the power of patterns to construct detailed scenarios and quantitative models of the far future. This is the kind of time literacy we need if we are to survive the Anthropocene.
FOREWORD BY MARCIA BJORNERUD ix
PREFACE xiii
INTRODUCTION: EMBRACING DEEP TIME LEARNING 1
1 HOW TO RIDE ANALOGIES ACROSS DEEP TIME 45
2 HOW FAR FUTURE WORLDS SPROUT FROM SIMPLE
REPEATING PATTERNS 69
3 HOW TO ZOOM IN AND OUT ON DEEP TIME FROM
DIFFERENT ANGLES 93
4 HOW TO FACE DEEP TIME EXPERTISE'S MORTALITY 119
CONCLUSION: ESCAPING SHALLOW TIME DISCIPLINE 143
A DEEP TIME RECKONING LEXICON 157
NOTES 165
INDEX
| Erscheinungsjahr: | 2020 |
|---|---|
| Fachbereich: | Ökologie |
| Genre: | Biologie |
| Rubrik: | Naturwissenschaften & Technik |
| Medium: | Taschenbuch |
| Inhalt: | Einband - flex.(Paperback) |
| ISBN-13: | 9780262539265 |
| ISBN-10: | 0262539268 |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Einband: | Kartoniert / Broschiert |
| Autor: | Ialenti, Vincent |
| Hersteller: | MIT Press Ltd |
| Maße: | 226 x 150 x 16 mm |
| Von/Mit: | Vincent Ialenti |
| Erscheinungsdatum: | 22.09.2020 |
| Gewicht: | 0,322 kg |
FOREWORD BY MARCIA BJORNERUD ix
PREFACE xiii
INTRODUCTION: EMBRACING DEEP TIME LEARNING 1
1 HOW TO RIDE ANALOGIES ACROSS DEEP TIME 45
2 HOW FAR FUTURE WORLDS SPROUT FROM SIMPLE
REPEATING PATTERNS 69
3 HOW TO ZOOM IN AND OUT ON DEEP TIME FROM
DIFFERENT ANGLES 93
4 HOW TO FACE DEEP TIME EXPERTISE'S MORTALITY 119
CONCLUSION: ESCAPING SHALLOW TIME DISCIPLINE 143
A DEEP TIME RECKONING LEXICON 157
NOTES 165
INDEX
| Erscheinungsjahr: | 2020 |
|---|---|
| Fachbereich: | Ökologie |
| Genre: | Biologie |
| Rubrik: | Naturwissenschaften & Technik |
| Medium: | Taschenbuch |
| Inhalt: | Einband - flex.(Paperback) |
| ISBN-13: | 9780262539265 |
| ISBN-10: | 0262539268 |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Einband: | Kartoniert / Broschiert |
| Autor: | Ialenti, Vincent |
| Hersteller: | MIT Press Ltd |
| Maße: | 226 x 150 x 16 mm |
| Von/Mit: | Vincent Ialenti |
| Erscheinungsdatum: | 22.09.2020 |
| Gewicht: | 0,322 kg |
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