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Beschreibung
This text is concerned with Bayesian learning, inference and forecasting in dynamic environments. We describe the structure and theory of classes of dynamic models and their uses in forecasting and time series analysis. The principles, models and methods of Bayesian forecasting and time - ries analysis have been developed extensively during the last thirty years. Thisdevelopmenthasinvolvedthoroughinvestigationofmathematicaland statistical aspects of forecasting models and related techniques. With this has come experience with applications in a variety of areas in commercial, industrial, scienti?c, and socio-economic ?elds. Much of the technical - velopment has been driven by the needs of forecasting practitioners and applied researchers. As a result, there now exists a relatively complete statistical and mathematical framework, presented and illustrated here. In writing and revising this book, our primary goals have been to present a reasonably comprehensive view of Bayesian ideas and methods in m- elling and forecasting, particularly to provide a solid reference source for advanced university students and research workers.
This text is concerned with Bayesian learning, inference and forecasting in dynamic environments. We describe the structure and theory of classes of dynamic models and their uses in forecasting and time series analysis. The principles, models and methods of Bayesian forecasting and time - ries analysis have been developed extensively during the last thirty years. Thisdevelopmenthasinvolvedthoroughinvestigationofmathematicaland statistical aspects of forecasting models and related techniques. With this has come experience with applications in a variety of areas in commercial, industrial, scienti?c, and socio-economic ?elds. Much of the technical - velopment has been driven by the needs of forecasting practitioners and applied researchers. As a result, there now exists a relatively complete statistical and mathematical framework, presented and illustrated here. In writing and revising this book, our primary goals have been to present a reasonably comprehensive view of Bayesian ideas and methods in m- elling and forecasting, particularly to provide a solid reference source for advanced university students and research workers.
Inhaltsverzeichnis
to the DLM: The First-Order Polynomial Model.- to the DLM: The Dynamic Regression Model.- The Dynamic Linear Model.- Univariate Time Series DLM Theory.- Model Specification and Design.- Polynomial Trend Models.- Seasonal Models.- Regression, Autoregression, and Related Models.- Illustrations and Extensions of Standard DLMs.- Intervention and Monitoring.- Multi-Process Models.- Non-Linear Dynamic Models: Analytic and Numerical Approximations.- Exponential Family Dynamic Models.- Simulation-Based Methods in Dynamic Models.- Multivariate Modelling and Forecasting.- Distribution Theory and Linear Algebra.
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2013
Fachbereich: Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie
Genre: Importe, Mathematik
Rubrik: Naturwissenschaften & Technik
Medium: Taschenbuch
Reihe: Springer Series in Statistics
Inhalt: xiv
682 S.
2 s/w Illustr.
ISBN-13: 9781475770988
ISBN-10: 1475770987
Sprache: Englisch
Einband: Kartoniert / Broschiert
Autor: West, Mike
Harrison, Jeff
Auflage: 2nd edition 1997. Softcover reprint of the original 2nd edition 1997
Hersteller: Humana
Springer
Springer US, New York, N.Y.
Springer Series in Statistics
Verantwortliche Person für die EU: Springer Verlag GmbH, Tiergartenstr. 17, D-69121 Heidelberg, juergen.hartmann@springer.com
Maße: 235 x 155 x 38 mm
Von/Mit: Mike West (u. a.)
Erscheinungsdatum: 08.03.2013
Gewicht: 1,042 kg
Artikel-ID: 105649622

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